FEMA: National Situation Updates

Friday, November 6, 2009

Fri, 06 Nov 2009 00:00:00 EST

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

National Weather

West:
A frontal system is producing rain, mountain snow and strong winds from Washington south to central California and as far east as Montana. Rainfall amounts in the higher elevations of Washington and Oregon could be as much as 4 inches with just a few tenths of an inch falling in the San Francisco Bay area. Snow levels will range from 2,500 feet in Washington to 5,500 feet in northern California by tonight. Gusty winds and high surf are forecast for coastal areas from Washington to northern California. Additional systems and precipitation will move ashore through the weekend.
Midwest:
The region will be dry with unusually warm temperatures. Highs will range from the 40s in Michigan to the low 80s in southwest Kansas. On Sunday, a cold front will move eastward across the region bringing a chance of showers.
South:
Under a large high pressure area the region will be dry except for a few showers along the southeast coast of Florida. Low temperatures (30s and 40s) are forecast across Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and the Carolinas this morning. On Sunday, rain and thunderstorms are forecast for the Gulf Coasts of Texas and Louisiana from moisture being pulled out of the Gulf of Mexico.
Northeast:
There will be a few residual showers in Upstate New York and New England from the storm low off the Canadian Maritimes. The low will produce gusty northerly winds along the coast from the Mid-Atlantic to Maine. The region will be generally dry through Monday. (NOAA’s National Weather Service, Various Media Sources)

Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)

No activity.(FEMA HQ)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic
Tropical Depression IDA
As of 4:00 a.m. EST, on November 6, 2009, the center of Tropical Depression Ida was located about 715 miles SSW of Key West, FL (1,150 miles SSE of New Orleans, LA).
The depression is moving toward the north near 6 mph. this general motion is expected to continue with a slight increase in forward speed over the next couple of days. On the forecast track the center of Ida will move across eastern Honduras today and emerge over the northwestern Caribbean Sea tonight or early Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph with higher gusts. Some additional weakening is expected today as the center of Ida remains over land. Some strengthening is likely after Ida emerges over the northwestern Caribbean Sea tonight or early Saturday.
Elsewhere, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
Eastern Pacific
Shower and thunderstorm activity remains minimal in association with an area of low pressure located about 230 miles south of the Mexico/Guatemala border. Any development of this system will be slow to occur over the next day or so before upper-level winds become less favorable for development. There is a low chance (less than 30 percent) of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves slowly northward or northeastward.
Central Pacific
No tropical cyclones are expected through Saturday evening.
Western Pacific
No activity.(NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Earthquake Activity

At 1:12 a.m. EST, November 6, 2009, a magnitude 3.4 earthquake occurred approximately 4 miles north-northwest of Dyersburg, TN (74 miles north-northeast of Memphis, TN) at a depth of 6.0 miles. There have been no reports of injuries or damages. (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Wildfire Update

National Preparedness Level: 1
National Fire Activity as of Thursday, November 5, 2009
Initial attack activity: Light (146 new fires)
New large fires: 1
Large fires contained: 1
Uncontained large fires: 1
States affected: AZ, CA (NIFC)

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Thursday, November 5, 2009

Thu, 05 Nov 2009 00:00:00 EST

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

National Weather

West: A strong frontal system will move ashore producing heavy precipitation and gusty winds from Washington to central California. Rainfall totals will range from a few tenths of an inch near San Francisco and an inch or more in the coastal areas of Washington and Oregon to four to five inches in the Olympic and Cascade Mountain ranges. Snow levels in the Cascades will start out around 6,000 feet lowering to near 3,500 feet tomorrow and dropping further during the weekend. Gusty winds between 50 and 60 mph are forecast for the coast and higher elevations of the Pacific Northwest.
Additional weather systems and heavy precipitation are forecast to impact the region through the weekend.

Midwest: Under high pressure much of the region will have clear skies. The only significant weather will be light rain or snow showers across Michigan and northeast Ohio from a weak frontal system over the Great Lakes.

South: High pressure will dominate the region over the next two days with clear skies and little or no precipitation. The exception will be south Florida where a weak front will produce a few showers and thunderstorms.

Northeast: An upper trough combined with a rapidly developing area of low pressure off the East Coast will produce a wintry mix for most of the region. Interior locations from West Virginia to Maine will see a mixture of scattered rain and snow showers. Significant accumulations of snow will be limited to a few inches over the higher terrain. Rain showers are forecast for the coastal areas from the mid-Atlantic to New England. Gusty northwesterly winds are forecast tonight through tomorrow for much of New England especially coastal areas due to the developing low off the coast. Temperatures will be 5 to 15 degrees below average for the next few days. Highs will only reach into the 40s over interior areas to 50s along the coast. The precipitation will taper off by tomorrow except for coastal New England. (NOAA’s National Weather Service, Various Media Sources)

Region VI –Flooding in Texas and Louisiana

• Region VI RRCC is at Watch / Steady State and monitoring.
• Texas and Louisiana State liaison officers are on standby.
• IA and PA PDA teams remain on standby for both states.
• There have been no requests for Federal assistance for either state.
Texas
• Heavy thunderstorms passed through eastern Texas on October 29 and 30th causing minor to moderate flooding on the Sabine, Neches and Trinity rivers in eastern Texas.
• The main reservoirs in the middle Sabine River are full and contributing to the higher flow in the river system. The Toledo Bend Reservoir is falling due to current release operations.
• The Toledo Bend release operations continue to drive water levels on the lower Sabine River.
• Major flooding is forecast along the Sabine River in Deweyville, TX (Newton County) on Saturday, Nov 7. Some neighborhoods in low lying areas may be inundated with water.
• There is one shelter open in Deweyville with 21 occupants.
• Seventeen hundred (1,700) gallons of water has been delivered to the Community of Deweyville.
• The Texas State Operations Center (SOC) is at Level I (Emergency Conditions) for border security operations and flood response in Newton and Jasper Counties.
Louisiana
• On October 28, 2009, severe storms produced heavy rain, wind, and tornadoes across the north and west portions of Louisiana. On October 30th, the Governor declared a statewide State of Emergency.
• Flooding of low lying areas has been reported in Bossier, Caddo, Desoto, Webster and Ouachita Parishes. Once the water recedes each parish will determine the need for PDA’s.
• The USCG has closed 111 miles of the Ouachita River from the Arkansas/Louisiana Border to near Columbia, LA to all commercial and residential traffic due to extreme high water and strong current conditions. The Ouachita River at Monroe is above major flood stage and expected to crest near 48 feet on November 9.

Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)

No activity.(FEMA HQ)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic
Tropical Storm Ida
As of 4:00 a.m. EST, on November 5, 2009, the center of Tropical Storm Ida was located about 815 miles south of Key West, FL (1,275 miles south-southeast of New Orleans, LA). The storm is moving toward the northwest at 7 mph and a gradual turn to the north-northwest with a slight decrease in forward speed is expected during the next day or two. On the forecast track Ida should make landfall along the east coast of Nicaragua this morning and move across portions of eastern Nicaragua and eastern Honduras during the next couple of days.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph with higher gusts. Ida could briefly reach hurricane strength before making landfall this morning. Weakening is expected once Ida moves inland over Nicaragua later today. Tropical Storm force winds extend outward up to 50 miles.

Elsewhere, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Eastern Pacific
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low pressure is located about 250 miles south of the Mexico/Guatemala border. The upper-level wind environment is becoming less conducive for development and there is a low chance (less than 30 percent) of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Central Pacific
No tropical cyclones are expected through Thursday morning.

Western Pacific
No activity.(NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Earthquake Activity

At 10:16 p.m. EST, November 4, 2009, a 4.7 magnitude earthquake occurred 152 miles south-southwest of Nikolski, AK (192 miles east-southeast of Atka, AK) at a depth of 6.2 miles. No reports of injury, damage or tsunami.(USGS, Earthquake Hazards Program)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Wednesday, November 4, 2009

Wed, 04 Nov 2009 00:00:00 EST

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

National Weather

Midwest
Rain and snow showers are forecast through the upper Mississippi Valley, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Some areas of northern Michigan could experience 1 to 3 inches of snow. Winds across the Plains are expected to reach 10 to 20 mph with gusts over 30 mph. A few snow showers are possible across the eastern Great Lakes on Thursday morning.

Northeast
Frost advisories and freeze warnings are in effect for southeastern Pennsylvania, northeast Maryland, Delaware, and southern New Jersey; wet snowflakes may mix with rain showers overnight. Light precipitation is expected to move over eastern New York, eastern Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Delaware tonight; Virginia should see precipitation Thursday morning. Rain and snow showers will fall across the region on Thursday with some snow accumulation possible above 1,500 feet.

West
High temperatures in areas from southern Oregon to Arizona may threaten record highs this afternoon. Rain is forecast over the Northwest on Thursday.

South
No precipitation is forecast over the next few days for the flood-ravaged areas of Arkansas, eastern Oklahoma, eastern Texas, western Tennessee, northern Mississippi, and Louisiana. Showers are expected for central and southern Florida today and Thursday, and possibly across the coastal sections of North Carolina early Thursday. (NOAA’s National Weather Service)

Flooding and Tornados in Louisiana

On October 28, 2009, severe storms produced heavy rain, wind, and tornadoes across the north and west portions of Louisiana. Twenty-three parishes declared local States of Emergency. Flooding of low lying areas was reported in LaSalle, Catahoula, Natchitoches, and Beauregard Parishes. Flood Warnings continue along the Sabine River at Deweyville and Bon Weir; both locations are forecast to rise to major flood stage within the next couple of days. Numerous roads remain closed throughout the state. The Ouachita River remains closed for all commercial vessels due to rising floodwaters and the saturated conditions of the levees. The Ouachita River at Monroe is above major flood stage and expected to crest on November 12. The North Bossier flood advisory has changed to “Watch” and residents have been told they may return home.
State/Local Response:
On October 30, 2009, the Governor declared a statewide State of Emergency to assist in the deployment and staging of state assets to support affected parishes. Louisiana Governor’s Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness (GOHSEP) activated the Crisis Action Team (CAT) on October 22, 2009. The CAT will remain activated until further notice.
Federal Actions:
Region VI RRCC is at Watch / Steady State and monitoring. State LNO is on standby. IA and PA PDA teams are on standby. There has been no request for Federal assistance. (Region VI, Upper and Lower Mississippi River Forecast Centers)

Arkansas Severe Storms and Flooding

On October 29-30, 2009, severe storms, tornadoes, and flash flooding occurred across the State of Arkansas. Thunderstorms produced locally heavy rainfall of 5-8 inches in the central and eastern counties. The heaviest band of rain was from Ouachita County to Pulaski County and Independence County.

Numerous roads were under water and water rescues occurred. Some homes and apartments were flooded. A couple of subdivisions in Lonoke County were evacuated. There was major flooding along the Spring River in Sharp County and Randolph County. Flash flooding was widespread from Polk County to Johnson County. In Newton County, there was at least one mudslide, with rocks and other debris on area highways.

NWS reported 7 tornadoes in the Little Rock County warning area. Two tornadoes were reported in the East Camden area damaging at least 30 empty train tank cars. Damage was most extensive around the Southern Arkansas University Tech and Highland Industrial Park areas.

Joint PA PDA teams will begin preliminary damage assessments in 45-50 counties on Monday, November 9. (Region VI, NWS)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic
At 1:00 a.m. EST, cloudiness and showers associated with an area of low pressure in the extreme southwestern Caribbean Sea continue to show signs of organization. The low is expected to move little over the next day or so. Upper-level winds are favorable for some additional development. There is a medium chance, 30 to 50 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Eastern Pacific
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
Central Pacific
No tropical cyclones are expected through Thursday morning.
Western Pacific
No activity threatening United States Territories. (NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Tuesday, November 3, 2009

Tue, 03 Nov 2009 00:00:00 EST

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

National Weather

Northeast
Winds and showers are forecast over northern and western New York and northern New England. During the day, 10 to 20 mph sustained winds will occur across New York, Pennsylvania, western Maryland, West Virginia, and northwestern Virginia. Blustery winds will move into New England, Long Island, New Jersey, and the Delmarva Peninsula on Tuesday night.

Midwest
Winds accompanied by rain and snow are possible across northern sections of the region; any snow accumulations will be light. A few rain showers may extend down to Iowa and extreme northern Missouri. The western Great Lakes will experience rain and snow showers on Tuesday night.

South
Scattered showers are expected across central and southern Florida; rainfall amounts should be light, with most areas receiving less than a half inch over the next couple of days.
West
Some high temperature records could be broken across the deserts and in the Central Valley of California on Tuesday. (NOAA’s National Weather Service)

Flooding and Tornados in Louisiana

On October 28, 2009, severe storms producing heavy rain, wind, and tornadoes moved through the north and west portions of Louisiana. Twenty parishes have declared local States of Emergency.
Flooding of low lying areas has been reported in Catahoula, Bossier, DeSoto, and Vernon Parishes.
Flood warnings continue along the Sabine River at Burkeville, Bon Weir and Deweyville. Burkeville is at minor stage; major flooding is forecast for Bon Weir and Deweyville by mid to late week. Several roads are closed throughout the state.

The State Levee District Police, Monroe Parish Unit, requested that the USCG issue a closure notice for the Ouachita River for all commercial vessels due to rising floodwaters and saturated conditions of the levees. The Monroe floodwall will be raised today. An order to move livestock from the levees has also been issued.
Bossier Parish
The voluntary evacuation order remains in effect; 2,500 people have evacuated. Flood water is expected to begin receding over the next week; however, the northern and southern areas of the parish may experience more flooding today. Levee operations are ongoing and expected to continue over the next week. Nine homes were reported destroyed and twenty one having incurred major damage. Some areas remain inaccessible, in those areas it is estimated that less than one hundred homes have water damage.
State/Local Response:
On October 30, 2009, the Governor declared a statewide State of Emergency to assist in the deployment and staging of state assets to support affected parishes. The Louisiana Governor’s Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness activated its Crisis Action Team (CAT) on October 22, 2009. The CAT will remain activated until further notice. Louisiana National Guard is providing levee support and high water vehicles. PDA teams will begin work as soon as there is no immediate threat to life and property.
Federal Actions:
Region VI RRCC is at Watch / Steady State and monitoring. The State LNO is on standby. IA and PA PDA teams are on standby. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers is providing technical assistance to Louisiana. There has been no request for Federal assistance. (Region VI, Upper and Lower Mississippi River Forecast Centers)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic
At 1:00 a.m. EST, showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure in the extreme southwestern Caribbean Sea shows some change in organization. There is a low, less than 30 percent, chance of the system becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours.
Eastern Pacific
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
Central Pacific
No tropical cyclones are expected through Tuesday morning.
Western Pacific
No activity threatening United States Territories. (NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Monday, November 2, 2009

Mon, 02 Nov 2009 00:00:00 EST

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

National Weather

Northeast
Clouds and showers from southern New Jersey to eastern Virginia will persist most of the day. Coastal areas from Cape Cod to the Mid Atlantic will be breezy.
South
Scattered showers and thunderstorms over central Florida are expected today. Lingering showers remain in North Carolina as a cold front moves away from the coast.
Midwest
Some showers are possible around the Great Lakes. Breezy conditions from the upper Mississippi Valley to Missouri and Kansas.
West
Only Washington may see showers as a front pushes into western Canada.(NOAA’s National Weather Service)

Flooding and Tornados in Louisiana

Several days of heavy rain, high winds and tornados created moderate to major flood levels in Louisiana. Flood warnings continue for some areas near the Sabine River, Red River, Bayou Anacoco, Calcasieu River, Mermentau Rivers and the Red Chute Bayou.
Bossier Parish, Louisiana
Voluntary evacuation advisories remain in effect for neighborhoods surrounding Red Chute Bayou due to ongoing topping of the levee and leaking beneath sandbags. The Red Chute Bayou and Flat Rivers continue to rise beyond original forecast. One shelter is open with 1 occupant overnight. The shelter is providing meals for response personnel and displaced families. There are significant road closures related to high water throughout Bossier and Caddo Parish; 30-40 homes are impacted by flooding in Caddo. Over 100 homes were damaged following tornado activity.
Catahoula Parish, Louisiana
Water from the Ouachita River has been rising and is expected to continue for the next few days. 12,000 agricultural acres are flooded. Some road closures remain due to high water. The town of Jonesville has activated pumps to remove rain water in areas where the river levels reached the flood walls.
Union Parish, Louisiana
Flooding around Lake D’Arbonne is expected to continue through Tuesday. Hydrologists indicate that areas downstream of the Toledo Bend Reservoir should be prepared for major flooding; approximately 30-40 families in the Vernon Parish may need to evacuate. The Sabine River Authority may open the gates another foot in the near future. Already 50-65 homes have flooded; 31 parish and 4 state roads are closed.

State Response
The Governor of Louisiana declared a State of Emergency for twenty parishes: Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Union, LaSalle, Morehouse, Catahoula, Red River, Ouachita, Jefferson Davis, Webster, East Carroll, Lincoln, Franklin, Winn, Madison, Natchitoches, Calcasieu, Beauregard, and Richland.
The LA Governor’s Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness (GOHSEP); the Crisis Action Team has been activated to monitor flash flooding and severe weather across Louisiana.
306 Louisiana National Guard personnel are providing levee support utilizing high water vehicles for evacuation, search and rescue and Aerial Reconnaissance.

Federal Actions
FEMA Region VI Acting Regional Administrator is in communication with the LA GOHSEP Director. A State Liaison and both IA and PA PDA teams are on standby.
The US Army Corps of Engineers is providing technical assistance. (Region VI, Upper and Lower Mississippi River Forecast Centers)

Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)

No activity. (FEMA HQ)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic
At 2:00 a.m. EST, a non-tropical gale was located about 375 miles east-northeast of Bermuda. This low appears to have acquired some subtropical characteristics. There is a high chance, greater than 30 percent, of this system becoming a subtropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Elsewhere, tropical or subtropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
Eastern Pacific
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
Central Pacific
No tropical cyclones are expected through Sunday afternoon.
Western Pacific
No activity threatening United States Territories. (NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Wildfire Update

National Preparedness Level: 1
National Fire Activity as of Friday, October 30, 2009
Initial attack activity: Light (61 new fires)
New large fires: 0
Large fires contained: 0
Uncontained large fires: 1
States affected: AZ (NIFC)

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Sunday, November 1, 2009

Sun, 01 Nov 2009 00:00:00 EST

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

Significant Weather:

Several days of heavy rain has created the possibility of flash flooding and moderate to major flood levels along some rivers in Iowa, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama, Louisiana, and Texas.(NOAA’s National Weather Service)

Bossier Parish, Louisiana
A Flash Flood Warning is in effect for the Red Chute Levee in Bossier Parish in NW Louisiana, including the cities of Red Chute and Sligo. Water is over topping the levee north of Sligo, and near the Dogwood Trail Bridge water is leaking beneath the sandbags.
Residents in fourteen subdivisions are preparing for flooding and possible evacuation; an estimated 800 – 1,200 people could be impacted.
One shelter is open at Platt Elementary school in Haughton, LA. This facility can hold up to 150 people. Occupancy data is currently unavailable.
There are significant road closures related to high water throughout the affected areas.
Water has entered homes in the Pecan Grove subdivision near Caplis Sligo Road, and is spilling over a one-half mile area of the Red Chute levee.
State Activity
The Governor of Louisiana declared a State of Emergency for Bossier, Caddo, and Caldwell Parish.
The LA Governor’s Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness (GOHSEP); The Crisis Action Team has been activated to monitor flash flooding and severe weather across Louisiana.

Federal Activity
FEMA Region VI Acting Regional Administrator is in communication with the LA GOHSEP Director. A State Liaison is on standby and has made contact with the LA GOHSEP, and both IA and PA PDA teams are on standby.
The US Army Corps of Engineers has also been monitoring this situation for several days. (Region VI, Upper and Lower Mississippi River Forecast Centers)

Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)

No activity.(FEMA HQ)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic
At 1:00 a.m. EST a non-tropical gale was located about 850 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. This low could slowly acquire some subtropical characteristics as it begins to move northwestward and then northward over the next couple of days. There is a low chance, less than 30 percent, of this system becoming a subtropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Elsewhere, tropical or subtropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
Eastern Pacific
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
Central Pacific
No tropical cyclones are expected through Sunday afternoon.
Western Pacific
No activity threatening United States Territories. (NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Saturday, October 31, 2009

Sat, 31 Oct 2009 00:00:00 EST

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

National Weather

West:
A cold front will move ashore and produce showers and mountain snow from Washington, to northern California spreading into the northern Rockies. Tomorrow, the Pacific Northwest will see just a few showers and mountain snow showers behind the front.

Midwest:
The front that produced significant weather over the region the last few days has moved east. Most of the region will be dry except for a few showers in the Ohio Valley and a wintery mix of rain and snow over much of the Great Lakes this morning. Tomorrow and Monday a cold front will bring precipitation including snow to the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes.

South:
A weakening cold front will extend from the New England to Florida and gradually move eastward throughout the day. Expect rain showers from Louisiana to the Carolinas with some locations receiving between one half and one inch of precipitation.
The front should push off the Southeast Coast tomorrow but remain draped across central Florida, with a few rain showers across the Carolinas and parts of Georgia.

Northeast:
The frontal system will produce widespread precipitation from the Great Lakes to New England and Mid-Atlantic. Some areas will receive more than an inch of rain. (NOAA’s National Weather Service, Various Media Sources)

Region VI Severe Weather

Louisiana - Heavy Rains and Flooding
Due to several days of heavy precipitation many rivers in Louisiana are forecast to flood most significantly:
• Bossier Parish - Bodcau Dam is at 198.6ft and may exceed 200 ft; extensive lowland flooding will occur
• At 200ft-Red Chute Levee is in danger of overtopping; if overtopping occurs 800-1,200 people may be evacuated
• Pointe Coupee Parish - Mississippi River at Red landing is forecast to crest at 47.5 on Tuesday, November 3, 2009

• Access roads will be inundated and evacuation of all river islands must be accomplished
• State preparations:
• Governor declares a state of emergency for 15 counties in anticipation of severe weather on October 31, 2009
• Five parishes have submitted flood related declarations to the state
• Provided over 200,000 sandbags to affected areas to protect against existing or potential flooding
• One shelter open with 15 occupants in Haughton, LA

Arkansas - Tornadoes, Severe Storms and Flooding

• One fatality reported (Independence County)
• 19 homes damaged - (4) Desha County & (15) Ouachita County
• Little Rock has one shelter open with an unknown number of occupants
• County assessments are on-going
• Five counties have submitted flood related declarations to the state; 11 counties have submitted verbal declarations
• The City of Saline is planning evacuations due to the overflowing of ponds and holes in a nearby levee
• Two shelters open with an unknown number of occupants
No requests for federal assistance at this time, however, PDA Teams and State Liaisons are ready to deploy.(Region VI, Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center)

Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)

No activity. (FEMA HQ)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
Eastern Pacific
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
Central Pacific
No tropical cyclones are expected through Sunday evening.
Western Pacific
No activity threatening United States Territories. (NOAA, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Wildfire Update

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)