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National Situation Update: Monday, July 2, 2007

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED).

National Weather

South
Rain is forecast for eastern Texas, eastern Oklahoma, and Arkansas. Scattered showers are forecast in southeastern Georgia and northern Florida.  High temperatures in the 80s will be widespread, with a few 90s here and there.

Northeast
Afternoon and evening showers or thundershowers in northern New England and New York.  Highs temperatures will be in the 60s and 70s. Eastern Virginia and eastern Maryland will be in the 80s.

Midwest
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecast across Minnesota, northern Wisconsin and far northern Michigan.  Severe storms are expected over the western Dakotas, Minnesota and northern Wisconsin.  Isolated showers and storms over southeastern Kansas and southern Missouri.  High temperatures ranging from the 60s in Minnesota, northern Wisconsin, and the U. P. of Michigan to 100 in the Nebraska Panhandle. 

West
Shower in western Washington and northwest Oregon; isolated afternoon storms over the mountains of New Mexico; and scattered showers and storms in Montana.  High temperatures are expected to range from the 60s in western Washington and Pacific coastal locations to the 110s in the deserts. Death Valley will peak in the 120s.   (NWS, Media Sources)

National Weather Service River Flood Outlook.

Once a river reaches flood stage, the flood severity categories used by the NWS include minor flooding, moderate flooding, and major flooding. Each category has a definition based on property damage and public threat.

  • Minor Flooding - minimal or no property damage, but possibly some public threat or inconvenience

  • Moderate Flooding - some inundation of structures and roads near streams. Some evacuations of people and/or transfer of property to higher elevations are necessary.

  • Major Flooding - extensive inundation of structures and roads. Significant evacuations of people and/or transfer of property to higher elevations.

Midwest Severe Storms and Flooding

Oklahoma -
Comanche County Emergency Management experienced widespread flooding with road closings; some evacuations were initiated on June 30, 2007.   Releases from Hulah Lake, north-central OK, have been increased to 45,000 CFS and this will add to local, uncontrolled run-off induced flooding in the Bartlesville, OK (Washington County) area.
Jefferson County Emergency Management reports early damage surveys show at least 10 bridges washed out by flooding.  A massive amount of water was released from Waurika; low level flooding is expected and as many as 75-100 homes may be affected.

Missouri -
The Vernon County EMD reports that their situation is starting to stabilize. No houses are under water. The EMD also reported 2 people had to be rescued from their vehicle after they drove into high water near Arthur. No requests for sandbags or any other assistance at this time. The
Bates County EMD reported a house exploded southeast of Amoret and one person suffered minor injuries. Ten homes in that area are surrounded by water. Temporary housing is being located in Butler for about a dozen people. Numerous roads are under water, with Rockville and Papinsville no longer accessible. The Bates County EOC is activated on 24-hour basis.

Kansas-
Linn County:  A bridge is washed out and residents from Boicourt are evacuating.
Miami County:  A tie-back portion of the Federal levee along Pottawatomie Creek (1,300 ft section) at Osawatomie is being overtopped.  USACE staff is on scene.  The levee has not been breached and appears to be stable at this time.  Evacuations in the community of Osawatomie started this morning. The city expects to evacuate 150-200 (high estimate) residents.  This levee is on the Pottawatomie Creek and Marais des Cygnes River.  The levee on the Marais des Cygnes side is not expected to overtop.  Marais des Cygnes River is expected to crest at 47 ft.  Flood stage is 51 ft. (FEMA Region VII)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic/Caribbean/Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Eastern Pacific:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Western Pacific:
No significant activity. (NOAA, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Wildfire Update

National Preparedness Level:  2
States Most Affected: California, Utah, Montana
National Fire Activity as of Sunday, July 1, 2007:
Initial attack activity: light (184 new fires)
New large fires: 4
Large fires contained: 2
Uncontained large fires: 16
Hot and dry weather will continue over most of the West.  Gusty winds and low humidity are expected over western and northern Nevada as well as some locations in the southern California mountains.  Thunderstorms, some of them dry, are expected over portions of Wyoming, Colorado and western New Mexico. In Alaska, rain is expected in south central portions with some thunderstorms in the interior.  The southeast will see scattered thunderstorms. (National Interagency Fire Center, National Incident Information Center, FEMA Region X, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center)

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Last Modified: Thursday, 04-Jun-2009 16:48:39 EDT