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National Situation Update: Sunday, July 1, 2007

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED).

National Weather

South
Scattered thunderstorms are forecast from the Carolinas to east Texas and for Florida.  Oklahoma, is forecast for thunderstorms and potentially flooding rain.  Highs are forecast to reach the mid to upper 80s from Virginia to Oklahoma.

Northeast
Overnight lows are forecast to range from the 40s from Maine to northern Pennsylvania with the 50s elsewhere.  Partly cloudy skies will warm only into the upper 60s in northern New England with the low to mid 70s across southern New  England to western Pennsylvania.

Midwest
Southeast Kansas heavy rain with 5 inches to locally 10 inches over the next 24-36 hours. Scattered thunderstorms from North Dakota to northern Minnesota. 

West
Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are forecast from Colorado to New Mexico and parts of Wyoming and Montana.  Southern California, very dry air plus gusty winds are forecast.  High temperatures are forecast for 90s across the Great Basin into New Mexico, Colorado, and Wyoming.  (NWS, Media Sources)

Mid West Severe Storms and Flooding

Missouri - A line of severe thunderstorms swept across Missouri beginning on Wednesday, June 27, 2007 and continuing. The heaviest precipitation fell in a corridor that stretched from Joplin and Kansas City on the west, to Hannibal and St. Louis on the east side of the state. Three (3) to five (5) inches of rain were received in this area causing rapid rises of numerous streams and rivers.  Near record flood stages are now being forecast for some areas along the South Grand River and Big Creek basins southeast of Kansas City.  A few people have evacuated their homes, and numerous roads have been closed.  Rain remains in the forecast for the affected area through Saturday evening.  In addition, severe weather is now a threat in southwest Missouri, as a tornado touched down in Polk County Saturday afternoon.

Kansas- Beginning June 26, 2007 and continuing, strong storms across south central and southeast Kansas have produced torrential rainfall and subsequent flooding/flash flooding in Anderson, Coffey, Cowley, Crawford, Neosho, Wilson and Woodson Counties.  Up to 21 inches of rain has been reported near Fredonia, Kansas.  As of Saturday morning, 16 ½ inches of rain had fallen in 48 hours at Moline, Kansas with 12 ½  inches in the last 24 hours.  Nine inches of rain fell in four hours on Friday afternoon at Winfield, Kansas.  Torrential rain and flooding are forecasted through Monday.  (FEMA Region VII)

Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)

FMAG-2703-FM-UT was issued for the Neola Morris Wildfire, near Neola, Utah. The Fire has burned more than 14,000 acres on State and private land. 10 percent containment of fire.  Estimated 300 mandatory evacuations from 105 threatened homes.  The fire edge is within 2 miles of the homes.  Another 150 homes in Dryfork Canyon, could be threatened in 12 - 24 hours.  The Uintah Power Station, a Water Treatment Facility on Tribal lands, and a Girl Scout Camp are threatened.  Six homes have been destroyed and three confirmed fatalities are being confirmed by the state.  (FEMA HQ) 

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic/Caribbean/Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Eastern Pacific:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Western Pacific:
No significant activity. (NOAA, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Wildfire Update

National Preparedness Level:  2
States Most Affected: California, Alaska, Utah
National Fire Activity as of Saturday, June 30, 2007:
Initial attack activity: moderate (210 new fires)
New large fires: 6
Large fires contained: 7
Uncontained large fires: 17
Windy conditions will continue over portions of California and the Great Basin and develop in Western Wyoming.  Thunderstorms, some dry, may develop in southeastern Arizona, western New Mexico, and portions of the Rockies.  In Alaska, conditions will continue to warm with a chance of thunderstorms.  The Southeast will see widespread showers and thunderstorms.(National Interagency Fire Center, National Incident Information Center, FEMA Region X, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center)

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Last Modified: Thursday, 04-Jun-2009 16:46:51 EDT