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National Situation Update: Sunday, June 3, 2007

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED).

National Weather Summary

South
Remnants of Tropical Storm Barry will cause locally heavy rain in the eastern Carolinas, and a few tornadoes could spin up from I-95 to the Outer Banks. The storm will exit the Southeast completely by Sunday night.

Severe thunderstorms and locally heavy rain will move across parts of Texas and eastern New Mexico over the next three days.

A weak front moving southward over the next three days may bring isolated thunderstorms to the Tennessee Valley, southern Appalachians and Carolinas, but is not expected to bring drought relief to the parched Southeast.

Midwest
Much of the region will see scattered showers and thunderstorms, some strong, on Sunday with the central Plains and Mid-Mississippi Valley losing their thunderstorm threat and drying out on Monday.

Northeast
The non-tropical remnants of Barry are expected to move up the Eastern seaboard over the next 48 hours. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches will be common from North Carolina northward through the coastal sections of the Mid-Atlantic States over the next 24 hours. Gusty winds, rough surf and rip currents will affect the coast, and a steady rain will invade the Chesapeake Bay area, the Delaware Valley, eastern New York and New England.

West
From the Desert Southwest to the Pacific Northwest and Montana, temperatures will be hot with highs 5 to 20 degrees above average. (NWS, Media Sources)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic/Caribbean: The National Hurricane Center issued its last advisory on Tropical Depression Barry at 5:00 pm EDT Saturday, June 02, 2007. Barry became a non-tropical low pressure system near the coast of southeastern Georgia. At 4:00 am EDT the center was located just east of Beaufort, South Carolina, moving toward the north-northeast at approximately 16 miles per hour.
The low pressure system is expected to move up the eastern seaboard over the next 48 hours. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches will be common from North Carolina northward through the coastal sections of the Mid-Atlantic States over the next 24 hours. Elsewhere, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
Eastern Pacific: The National Hurricane Center issued its last advisory on Tropical Depression Barbara at 5:00 pm EDT Saturday, June 02, 2007. Barbara is dissipating inland over extreme southeastern Mexico. This system could still produce heavy rainfall over portions of southeastern Mexico, with the possibility of life-threatening flash floods and mud slides during the next day or so. Elsewhere, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
Western Pacific: No tropical cyclones are expected through Monday morning. (NOAA, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Wildfire Update

National Preparedness Level:   2
States Most Affected: Georgia and Florida
National Fire Activity as of Saturday, 2 June, 2007 at 10:00 am EDT:

• Initial attack activity: Moderate (270 new fires burning 3,170 acres).
• New large fires:                 1
• Large fires contained:                1
• Uncontained large fires:              17
• Year to date fires:       37,167
• Year to date acres burned: 1,338,760

Fire Weather Discussion:   Some dry lightning is possible east of the Cascades and in the Great Basin; however a critical fire weather threat is not anticipated. The remnants of Tropical Depression Berry moved northeastward along the eastern seaboard, mitigating critical fire weather concerns over the southeastern states. Because of Tropical Storm Barry, firefighters were not in the field on Saturday. Firefighters were available for emergency situations. Fire crews will continue with mop-up, line improvement and structure protection as Berry moves out of the area. Hot spots and reburns will be a concern as the weather dries out in the coming days. The Okefenokee National Wildlife Refuge, including the visitor center, is closed. Refuge headquarters is open and conducting normal business. (National Interagency Fire Center, National Incident Information Center)

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)