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National Situation Update: Monday, January 29, 2007

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED).

Hazards for the Period January 29 - February 9

Several extensive Arctic outbreaks are forecast to move from the northern Plains and upper Mississippi Valley southward and eastward over much of the central and eastern part of the Nation Jan 29 through Feb 5.

Periods of locally heavy lake effect snow squalls are likely downwind from the lee shores of all the Great Lakes from Jan 29 through Feb 5, aided by unusually large expanses of open water for this late in the winter, due to prior unseasonably mild weather.

A brief period of dry, downslope winds may develop, that may increase the wildfire danger in southern California Jan 31 - Feb 1.

Some of the drought areas in the interior Southwest, Plains, and northeast Florida may see some further relief, but little or no relief is expected for the growing dry area in southern California and western Arizona.  (NOAA/National Weather Service, Climate Prediction Center)

Winter Weather Forecast for Most of the U.S. Monday

Midwest:
Light snow and flurries from the northern Plains through the Upper Midwest into the Great Lakes region is expected.

Temperatures will be below seasonal averages.

Wind chills over the northern Plains will be significant as arctic air moves southward.

Actual high temperatures will range from the single digits in parts of North Dakota to the 40s in southern Kansas and southern Missouri.

Northeast:
It will be windy and cold in the Northeast. Light snow and freezing rain along the I-95 corridor, from New York City to Maryland may cause dangerous travel conditions. 

Light snow showers and flurries are forecasted with lake-effect snows off Lakes Erie and Ontario.
 
South:
The South will be sunny and cold. Temperatures will be below freezing Sunday evening across most of the region.

Monday's highs are expected to range from the 30s in eastern Tennessee and far western North Carolina to the 60s in south Florida and Texas.

West:
Light rain showers will move into parts of central and southern California from an offshore storm Monday.

Snow flurries are expected in the region from eastern Montana to northeast Wyoming.  (NWS, Media Sources)

Tropical Weather Outlook

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

Missouri - Joint PDAs for IA are scheduled to begin Monday, January 29.

Washington - PDA for January 6-7, 2007 windstorms are scheduled for January 29-31, 2007 in King, Snohomish, Jefferson, Chelan, Grant, Douglas, and Island Counties.  (FEMA HQ)

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)