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National Situation Update: Monday, July 10, 2006

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED).

Significant National Weather

West: Scattered showers and thunderstorms will dot the West Monday with activity peaking in the afternoon and evening. Sunshine is expected to prevail in
the Great Basin, California and Arizona. High temperatures will range from the 60s along much of the Pacific coast, western Washington and the higher Rockies to over 110 in the normally hotter deserts of California and Arizona. Readings in the 80s and 90s will prevail in the Great Basin.

Northeast:  A scattering of showers and thunderstorms with an upper-level disturbance and associated cold front will push into the Northeast Monday. The activity is expected to focus in northern New England, New York State and Pennsylvania. Temperatures are forecast to be seasonable with highs mostly in the 70s and 80s. A few readings in the low 90s may appear in eastern Virginia.

South:  Showers and thunderstorms will be scattered across the South, but in much of the Carolinas, south Georgia, north Florida and most of Texas precipitation will be at a minimum or even non-existent. Temperatures should be near or even a bit below mid-July averages with highs mostly in the 80s and 90s. Locations in the southern Appalachians, however, might not get out of the 70s, and a few spots in the Trans-Pecos region of Texas and along the lower Rio Grande probably will top 100.

Midwest:  A few showers and storms will occur in the lower Midwest Monday near a weak, stalling cold front. A muggy southerly flow of air in conjunction with a broad upper-level disturbance exiting the Rockies will lead to scattered downpours and storms over the central Plains and lower Missouri Valley. Mostly dry weather is expected in the Dakotas and Upper Midwest. Highs will range from the 60s near Lake Superior to the 90s in a few spots on the Great Plains. Most locations will be in the 70s and 80s. From Tuesday through the weekend, the Plains will heat up. High temperatures will peak near or over 100 in many locations by late week from North Dakota to Kansas. (NWS, Media Sources)

FEMA Region Activity

The Joint Field Offices (JFOs) for FEMA-1652-DR (Maryland) and FEMA-1654-DR (Delaware) are scheduled to open today (Monday July 10).  (FEMA Region III)

Tropical Activity

Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico, and Caribbean Sea: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms between Hispaniola and Bermuda are primarily associated with an upper-level low. Tropical cyclone formation is not anticipated.  Elsewhere, tropical storm formation is not expected through Tuesday.
Eastern Pacific: An area of disturbed weather centered about 600 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico has the potential to become a tropical depression during the next day or so as it moves westward or west-northwestward.  Disorganized areas of disturbed weather prevail across the eastern Pacific from south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec eastward. There are no signs of development. Elsewhere, tropical storm formation is not expected through Tuesday.
Western Pacific: Nothing significant to report. (USDOC/NOAA/NWS, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center, and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Wildfire Update

Wildland fire activity was light throughout the nation with 196 new fires reported.

Seven new large fires were reported: five in Nevada and one each in Arizona and California.

Three large fires were contained: one each in Arizona, California, and Utah.

Thunderstorms are predicted in Nevada, northern California, eastern Oregon, and Idaho.

Warming will continue over the western states as a high pressure builds over the region. (National Interagency Fire Center)

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)